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The Confidence Industrial Complex
Certainty is not strategy. But it has never been easier to monetize.
 • 
Tom Chavez
Your future is... algorithmically uncertain
Congrats, grad! Your signing bonus is a recurring existential crisis.
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Tom Chavez
I Dismissed Prompting as a Gimmick. I Was Wrong.
What I thought was a temporary hack turned out to be the core skill.
 • 
Tom Chavez
1
This chart explains a lot of founder behavior
Founder flavors: spicy, steady, or slightly unhinged
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Tom Chavez
What a Public Execution in 1813 Tells Us About AI Today
The Luddites weren’t anti-technology, they were anti-poverty. Their story has a warning for the AI age.
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Tom Chavez
The Next Great American Export: Talent
We don’t need foreign rivals to steal American talent. We’re packing their bags for them.
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Tom Chavez
2
A liberal democracy, if you can afford it
Turns out the social contract had fine print: “Void where wealthy.”
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Tom Chavez
6
Arthur Patterson on Crypto, Cogs, and the Search for Meaning
Accel’s co-founder reflects on the venture game and the power of curiosity
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Tom Chavez
The Liar's Dividend, 2025 Edition
It’s not the deepfakes. It’s the doubt they sow.
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Tom Chavez
3
Tomisms
Tomisms
Lessons from the startup trenches
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The Problem Is...
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